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Unread post by FuckUSA » 2024-10-19 22:45

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NATIONAL GEOSPATIAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
(SNF) Select GEOINT Indicators of Israell Military Activity Oriented to Iran
TOP SECRETITKIG ISA/IRSENOFORN
Indicator Observed
Predictive
(SIREL TO USA, GBR) Israel: Defense Forces Continue Key Munitions Preparations and Covert UAV Activity Almost Certainly for a Strike on Iran, 16 October 2024 16 October 2024 (SIREL TO USA CBR) The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) continued key munitions preparations and covert UAV activity on 16 October almost certainly for a strike on Iran. We cannot definitively predict the scale and scope of a strike on Iran, and such a strike can occur with no further GEOINT warning. ⚫ITSITIFSIRSNF) The Israeli Air Force (IAF) continued long-range air-launched ballistic missile (ALBM) handling on 16 October. The IAF has handled at least 16 Golden Horizon ALBMS and at least 40 IS02 Rocks since 8 October, according to imagery analysis. The IAF also maintained the readiness of aerial refueling and support aircraft and likely conducted an aerial refueling exercise on 15 October
(SURE TO USA FVEY) All Israeli mid- and upper-tier air defense systems remained deployed
SIRE TO USA FVEN The Israeli Navy continued to disperse from Haifa, and the IAF continued to partially disperse aircraft at Ovda airfield.
⚫ (SIREL TO USA GBR) The IAF continued covert UAV operations on 16 October. Israel's covert UAVs enable long-range, covert surveillance in Iran and throughout the region.
(SIN) We did not observe any Jericho II
medium-range ballistic missiles (MRBM)
activity on 16 October. Israel likely dispersed
Low
Indicator Observed
Predictive Ability
Weapons Handling
Air
Long-range ALBM handling
Medium
Covert UAV flight operations
Rocks/1502 ALBM handling
Medium
Combat search and rescue preparations
Low
Precision-guided munitions handling
Low
Aircraft defensive dispersal
Air Defense
Nuclear and Missile
Elevated missile and air defenses*
Low
Nuclear forces on alert
Low
Missile forces on alert
Interceptor resupply
Ground Forces
Nuclear or missile dispersal
Change in IDF posture related to Iranian proxies in northern Israel
Low
Special Forces
Navy
Navy defensive dispersal
Low
Special forces preparations for external operations**
00
Ο
Low
Low
Low
Low
Medium
Table is classified SECRETINOFORN
*S/REL TO USA, FVEY) Israeli air defenses have been on a heightened readiness level since the 7 October 2023 attacks Israel ground forces have maintained an elevated defensive posture in northern Israel, primanly to defend northern Israel against crossborder Incursions from Lebanon and Syn **(S/REL TO USA FVEY) Israeli special forces have been active throughout the current conflict
MRBMS on 1 October, and we lack indications The indicators in this chart address trael preparation for attacks on iran or the anticipation of Iranian attacks that the dispersal has concluded. MRBM dispersal is almost certainly defensive; we have not observed indications that Israel intends to use a nuclear weapon.
Category Threshold Met
Yes
No
No
Change since
15 October
Change since 15 October
TOP SECRETITKIFG ISRASENNOFORN
CL BY 10/5904 DRV FROM CONGA SCG-DECL ON 25X1, 20741231
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